All 51 geographies (50 states + DC) are present — no state was dropped or reweighted. Burglary rates: FBI Crime Data Explorer estimates, 2024. Housing age and renter share: Census ACS 2023 five-year. Index: equal-weight normalized components.

District of Columbia tops the 2026 index at 80.7 — a 2024 burglary rate of 238.2 per 100,000, homes with a median build year of 1957, and 58.9% of households renting. At the other end, Idaho posts the lowest combined risk. Every state's numbers, the full ranking, and the methodology are below — journalists are welcome to the raw CSV.

The top 10 highest lock-risk states, 2026

#	State	Risk index	Burglary /100k	Median build yr	Renter share	Licenses locksmiths
1	District of Columbia	80.7	238.2	1957	58.9%	No
2	New York	59.1	136.6	1958	45.7%	No
3	California	54.7	305.8	1976	44.2%	Yes
4	Oklahoma	49.0	411.4	1980	34.2%	No
5	New Mexico	48.6	500.3	1984	30.7%	No
6	Illinois	47.6	290.5	1970	33.2%	Yes
7	Washington	46.5	398.8	1984	36.1%	No
8	Massachusetts	46.0	130.3	1963	37.4%	No
9	Louisiana	45.3	405.4	1982	32.7%	Yes
10	Rhode Island	44.1	91.0	1961	36.7%	No

Every state, ranked

#	State	Index	Burglary /100k	Build yr	Renter %
1	District of Columbia	80.7	238.2	1957	58.9
2	New York	59.1	136.6	1958	45.7
3	California	54.7	305.8	1976	44.2
4	Oklahoma	49.0	411.4	1980	34.2
5	New Mexico	48.6	500.3	1984	30.7
6	Illinois	47.6	290.5	1970	33.2
7	Washington	46.5	398.8	1984	36.1
8	Massachusetts	46.0	130.3	1963	37.4
9	Louisiana	45.3	405.4	1982	32.7
10	Rhode Island	44.1	91.0	1961	36.7
11	Oregon	43.7	306.5	1980	36.6
12	Ohio	41.2	206.0	1970	33.0
13	Kansas	41.1	261.6	1975	33.1
14	New Jersey	40.9	145.3	1969	36.3
15	North Dakota	40.2	271.2	1981	36.6
16	Arkansas	38.4	352.7	1987	33.9
17	Nevada	38.4	364.4	1996	40.7
18	Connecticut	38.0	117.3	1967	33.8
19	Colorado	37.8	348.0	1987	33.7
20	Hawaii	36.8	190.4	1979	37.4
21	Pennsylvania	36.6	116.7	1965	30.7
22	Missouri	35.7	236.3	1978	32.1
23	Iowa	35.3	199.1	1971	28.5
24	Texas	34.3	284.3	1990	37.4
25	Nebraska	33.7	155.1	1975	33.5
26	North Carolina	33.4	323.9	1990	33.6
27	Michigan	32.0	184.2	1972	27.1
28	Maryland	31.8	190.0	1979	32.5
29	Alaska	31.1	238.2	1985	33.4
30	South Dakota	31.1	194.7	1979	31.4
31	Tennessee	30.9	251.8	1986	33.0
32	Indiana	30.5	176.8	1976	29.6
33	Wisconsin	29.5	117.2	1975	32.1
34	Kentucky	28.7	193.6	1982	31.7
35	Alabama	28.2	243.5	1985	30.1
36	Minnesota	27.4	184.7	1978	27.6
37	Montana	27.4	167.2	1980	30.6
38	Mississippi	27.2	235.2	1986	30.5
39	West Virginia	26.7	178.3	1976	25.7
40	Wyoming	25.2	171.2	1980	28.1
41	Vermont	24.7	130.6	1976	27.2
42	Georgia	24.6	202.8	1991	34.6
43	South Carolina	24.5	282.4	1991	28.6
44	Arizona	23.3	217.8	1992	33.0
45	Virginia	21.9	108.7	1984	32.8
46	Florida	21.6	152.5	1988	32.7
47	Maine	21.2	100.1	1976	26.0
48	Delaware	19.9	175.1	1986	27.7
49	New Hampshire	17.2	48.1	1978	27.5
50	Utah	15.2	146.6	1991	29.4
51	Idaho	12.1	116.2	1990	27.6

One quotable line per state lives in the JSON download; the CSV is journalist-ready. Method, sources, and limitations: full methodology. Download CSV · Download JSON

Which States' Homes Are Most at Risk of Lock Failure & Break-Ins

The top 10 highest lock-risk states, 2026

Every state, ranked